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WebJul 1, 2021 · MICHIGAN 1 of 4 PA gives me voter registration by party, as does IA, so I used those to model "Party ID" in MI, WI, and MN, where voters don't register by party. As discussed at length in my threads, Party ID is the best way to predict the trajectory of the next election. PA had monstrous momentum for GOP (21-1 ratio), suggesting huge Trump win in 2020 (and it was right in predicting Trump ...
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